Fantasy hockey rankings Week 14 update

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It’s the week of the fantasy hockey playoffs for many leagues, and that means roster changes are in the air.  The top of the rankings is pretty much the same as last week, with the same players taking the top five spots.  Sidney Crosby is still the top guy, followed by Evgeni Malkin and Patrick Kane.  Phil Kessel and Jonathan Toews round out the top five.  But the most notable movement is Nicklas Backstrom making a big jump from 16th to 9th, with Nicklas Bäckström falling out of the top 10.  Also, Marian Hossa is back up at 13th, with Patrick Sharp falling out of the

Not too much has changed in the past week, as the season is now less than a month away from ending. Many fantasy hockey GMs have been trying to trade away their star players that have underperformed this season, in hopes of finding someone who will put up at least a point a game in the next few weeks.  Next week’s rankings will be the last rankings before the playoffs are over, and the week after that will be the first rankings of the following season.

The margin of error is getting smaller here. Working on a version of my points per game projections (FPPG) to determine value in these end-of-season rankings is getting a little complicated. With the ESPN.com game on the 13th. When May is over and the NHL extends the season next due to the Vancouver Canucks’ long hiatus, the imbalance of the remaining games will be pushed to the limit.

Bad fantasy managers who invest in the Calgary Flames can’t be happy with the rest of the team. The Flames only have five other games that can be used in fantasy. For example, the Los Angeles Kings, Canucks, St. Louis Blues and Colorado Avalanche each have 10. Vince Dunn is more attractive than Mark Giordano under these circumstances, and it doesn’t make much of a difference.

In general, at the end of the season, I like to use a mixed FPPG forecast, which is an equally weighted FPPG for the entire season, averaging the last month for each player. I then apply this FPPG average to the player’s remaining games. In the case of goalies, I use a similar combination of goalie percentage and fantasy points out of 60 (FPP60) – both for the entire season and for the last month – and it gives a similar prediction for the remaining points.

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The reason I talk about how the sausage is made is because the remaining projected points below the top 250 are very close. The difference between #1 and #250 in terms of fantasy points remaining is just 20.9 fantasy points (31.8 – 10.9 fantasy points).

The difference between #100 and #250 is only 4.0 fantasy points (14.9 versus 10.9 fantasy points). One good match is enough for a player to go from 250 to 100 on this ranking.

In other words: At the end of the season, take these rankings for what they are: Do your best to score those who are hot and have a free schedule to help your fantasy team.

Goalkeeper

Brayden Holtby, G, Vancouver Canucks (rating #26): With 10 games left to play and Thatcher Demko on the mend, that would be enough to make Holtby a fantasy target. Given what he has shown since the team returned to form, he becomes the best option. Even if Demko recovers quickly, Holtby’s performance of late justifies the split in action. And five games at least is about all a goalie can hope for in the future. Holtby is listed as a free agent in 57% of leagues.

Mike Hoffman, W, St. Louis Blues (ranked #33): Sure, it took a while, but Hoffman got into a rut that was more reminiscent of his previous seasons. Playing on the power play with Robert Thomas and Sammy Ble has been good lately, but playing on the power play with David Perrone, Vladimir Tarasenko and Ryan O’Reilly has been great. Hoffman is averaging over 3.2 FPPG in his last six games and is also selected with 10 games left in the season. He’s still available in 22% of leagues.

Chandler Stephenson, C, Vegas Golden Knights (ranked #65): He’s been on the radar all season thanks to his role as a consistent mainstay for Max Pacioretty and Mark Stone, but lately Stevenson has managed to reach a new level. In 10 games, Stevenson is averaging 2.2 FPPG. It is available in 71% of leagues.

2 Connected

Tyler Seguin, C, Dallas Stars (ranked #74): If Seguin returns this week, even his shadow will be relevant to fantasy if he’s not 100% himself. Of course, the question is whether it was worth keeping him on IR for the last seven or eight games – probably not, given that we’ve already seen a few instances this season in the league where he stayed on IR. But that was then and this is now. Seguin is available as a free agent in 70% of ESPN leagues.

Joonas Donskoi, W, Colorado Lavin (Rated #84): Donskoi is expected to resume his role as the fourth attacker for the final 10 games of the season, following COVID protocol – a position he occupied well before missing the game. That means a lot of ice time with Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskom, Mikko Rantanen and Kale Makar on the power play. Still, any warm body that takes to the ice with this foursome will get results, and there’s no guarantee it’ll be Donskoy. Focus on whoever gets the role (Andre Burakowski, J.T. Comper are possible options).

Andrew Kopp, C, Winnipeg Jets (Rated #121): With the announcement that Nicholas Ehlers has been ruled out for the rest of the season, Kopp has a chance to take a shot at the top six. He’s averaging 1.9 FPPG this season, and many of those games came from the Jets’ scoring lines.

Nate Schmidt, D, Vancouver Canucks (rating #128): Schmidt was a fantasy factor last season, but for most of this season he hasn’t scored enough fantasy points to figure into the plans. But his performance was higher before and after the KOVID shutdown of the Canucks. Schmidt has scored at least 1.1 fantasy points and averaged 1.6 in his last nine games (five before the shutout, four after). He’s good enough to be the last defender on your roster – especially if you can use the 10 fantasy games he has left.

Marco Scandella, D, St. Louis Blues (review #157): He doesn’t have enough points to be worth it, but for those who don’t have to worry about the maximum number of games at that position in the lineup (or tend to be below the threshold), Scandella should be used for quantity, not quality. With 10 games to go and his 1.4 FPPG over the last month, he’s in better shape compared to the best defenders from teams with fewer games.

Nathan Bastian, W, New Jersey Devils (#176th place): Production is production. Do I think Miles Wood and Nathan Bastian in the same line on paper would be a fantasy factor? Probably not. But Bastian leads all Devils with 1.9 FPPG in the last month – more than enough for fantasy production. Trading Kyle Palmieri and Travis Zajac freed up a lot of ice time for others, and Bastian took advantage of it.

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Top 250 Fantasy Hockey Rankings

1. Nathan MacKinnon, S, Colonel (C1)
2. Connor McDavid, K, Edm (C2)
3. Mikko Rantanen, RW, Colonel (RW1)
4. Gabriel Landeskog, LW, Col (LW1)
5. Andrey Vasilevsky, G, TB (G1)
6. Brad Marchand, LW, Forest (LW2)
7. Alec Martinez, D, Vgs (D1)
8. Aston Matthews, S, Gate (C3)
9. Mike Smith, G, Edm (G2)
10. Cam Talbot, G, Min (G3)
11. Leon Dreisaitl, LW, Edm (LW3)
12. Juuse Saros, G, Nsh (G4)
13. Bo Horvath, C, Wang (C4)
14. Keil Makar, D, Colonel (D2)
15. Darnell Nurse, D, Edm (D3)
16. Robin Lechner, G, Vgs (G5)
17. Ryan O’Reilly, S, StL (C5)
18. Patrice Bergeron, C, Forest (C6)
19. Drew Doughty, D, Los Angeles (D4)
20. Kirill Kaprizov, LW, Min (LW4)
21. Alex Ovechkin, LW, Wsh (LW5)
22. Max Pacioretti, LW, Vgs (LW6)
23. Kevin Fiala, S, Min (C7)
24. Dougie Hamilton, D, Auto (D5)
25. Vincent Trocheck, C, Auto (C8)
26. Brayden Holtby, G, Wang (G6)
27. David Perron, RW, StL (RW2)
28. Jared Spurgeon, D, Min (D6)
29. Travis Hamonic, D, Wang (D7)
30. Shea Theodore, D, Vgs (D8)
31. Artemiy Panarin, LW, NYR (LW7)
32. Roop Hinz, S, Dahl (C9)33. Mike Hoffman, LW, StL (LW8)
34. Jack Campbell, G, Thor (G7)
35. Anze Kopitar, C, Los Angeles (C10)
36. Tyler Myers, D, Van (D9)
37. JT Miller, C, from (C11)38. Brock Boeser, RW, Van (RW3)
39. Mark Stone, RW, Vgs (RW4)
40. Alex DeBrincat, LW, Chi (LW9)
41. Jordan Binnington, G, StL (G8)
42. John Carlson, D, Wsh (D10)
43. Marc-André Fleury, G, Vgs (G9)
44. Jakob Cichrun, D, Ari (D11)
45. Adam Fox, D, New York (D12)
46. Sidney Crosby, S, Pete (C12)
47. T.J. Oshie, RW, Wsh (RW5)
48. Vladimir Tarasenko, RW, StL (RW6)
49. Semyon Varlamov, G, NYI (G10)
50. Victor Hedman, D, TB (D13)
51. Alexander Edler, D, Wang (D14)
52. Sebastian Aho, C, car (C13)
53. Tyler Toffoli, RW, Mo (RW7)
54. Brayden Schenn, S, StL (C14)
55. Alex Pietrangelo, D, Vgs (D15)
56. David Pastrnak, RW, Bos (RW8)
57. Igor Shesterkin, G, NYR (G11)
58. Mika Zibanejad, S, NYR (C15)
59. Mitch Marner, RW, But (RW9)
60. Devon Toews, D, Col (D16)
61. Tyson Barry, D, Edm (D17)
62. Jake Gentzel, LW, Pete (LW10)
63. Vince Dunn, D, StL (D18)
64. Quinn Hughes, D, Wang (D19)
65. Chandler Stevenson, S, Vgs (C16)66. Ivan Provorov, D, Phi (D20)
67. Justin Falk, D, StL (D21)
68. Taylor Hall, LW, Forest (LW11)
69. Joe Pavelski, RW, Dahl (RW10)
70. Mark Scheifele, C, Wpg (C17)
71. Tory Circle, D, StL (D22)
72. Brent Burns, D, SJ (D23)
73. John Tavares, c, door (C18)
74. Tyler Seguin, S, Dahl (C19)
75. Alexander Barkov, C, Fla (C20)
76. Dustin Brown, RW, LA (RW11)
77. Evander Kane, LW, SJ (LW12)
78. Matthew Dumba, D, Min (D24)
79. Patrick Kane, RW, Chi (RW12)
80. Tristan Jarry, G, Pit (G12)
81. Jeff Petrie, D, Mon (D25)
82. Esa Lindell, D, Dahl (D26)
83. Tyler Motte, LW, Van (LW13)
84. Joonas Donskoy, RW, Colonel (RW13)
85. Jason Robertson, LW, Dahl (LW14)
86. Tomasz Hertl, S, SJ (C21)
87. Shea Weber, D, Mo (D27)
88. Brady Tkachuk, LW, Ott (LW15)
89. Ryan Graves, D, Colonel (D28)
90. Jamie Benn, LW, Dahl (LW16)
91. Alex Nedeljkovic, G, Auto (G13)
92. Ondřej Palát, LW, TB (LW17)
93. Brian Rast, RW, Pete (RW14)
94. Joel Eriksson Eck, C, Min (C22)
95. Connor Murphy, D, Chi (D29)
96. Charlie McAvoy, D, Forest (D30)
97. Adam Larsson, D, Edm (D31)
98. Jonathan Marchessault, LW, Vgs (LW18)
99. Braden Point, S, TB (C23)
100. Tuukka Rask, G, Bos (G14)
101. Jacob Trouba, D, NYR (D32)
,102. Connor Brown, RW, Ott (RW15)
103. Josh Anderson, RW, Mo (RW16)
104. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, S, Edm (C24)
105. Samuel Girard, Dr, Colonel (D33)
106. Sean Couturier, S, Fi (C25)
107. Martin Necas, C, Auto (C26)
108. Jordan Staal, C, Auto (C27)
109. Nicklas Backstrom, S, Vsh (C28)
110. Roman Yosi, D, Nsh (D34)
111. Tanner Pearson, LW, Van (LW19)
112. Alex Goligoski, D, Ari (D35)
.113. Joshua Norris, S, Ott (C29)
.114. Jean-Gabriel Pajot, S, NYI (C30)
115. David Krejci, S, Forest (C31)
116. Matthew Barzal, c, New York (C32)
117. Jonas Brodin, D, Min (D36)
118. Nick Bonino, C, Min (C33)
119. Anthony Mantha, RW, WS (RW17)
120. Chris Letang, D, Pete (D37)
121. Andrew Kopp, S, Vpg (C34)122. Sam Reinhart, RW, Buff (RW18)
.123. Alex Tuch, RV, Vgs (RV19)
124. Mats Zuccarello, RW, Min (RW20)
125. Ryan Pulock, D, NYI (D38)
,126. Colton Pareyko, D, StL (D39)
127. Matt Grzelcyk, D, Forest (D40)
,128. Nate Schmidt, D, Wang (D41)
129. Alex Iafallo, LW, LA (LW20)
130. Kyle Connor, LW, Wpg (LW21)
,131. Philippe Grubauer, G, Col (G15)
132. Andrey Svechnikov, LW, Auto (LW22)
133. Jared McCann, LW, Pete (LW23)
,134. Jake Muzzin, D, Thor (D42)
135. Connor Hellebuyck, G, Wpg (G16)
136. Pavel Buchnevich, RW, NYR (RW21)
,137. Brandon Montour, D, Florida (D43)
138. Jaden Schwartz, LW, StL (LW24)
,139. Craig Smith, RW, Forest (RW22)
140. Tom Wilson, RW, Wsh (RW23)
141. Jeff Carter, S, Pete (C35)
142. Andreas Athanasiou, LW, LA (LW25)
143. Travis Zajac, S, NYI (C36)
144. Brandon Sutter, C, Wang (C37)
145. Thomas Chabot, D, Ott (D44)
146. Nick Suzuki, S, ma (C38)
,147. Sammy Blais, LW, StL (LW26)
148. Miro Heiskanen, D, Dal (D45)
149. Phil Kessel, RW, Ari (RW24)
150. John Klingberg, D, Dahl (D46)
.151. Andre Burakowski, LW, Colonel (LW27)
152. Tyler Bozak, S, Stl (C39)
153. Tomasz Tatar, LW, Mon (LW28)
154. Drake Batterson, S, Ott (C40)
155. Adrian Kempe, C, LA (C41)
156. Jacob Slavin, D, Auto (D47)
157. Marco Scandella, D, StL (D48)
158. William Nylander, RW, But (RW25)
159. Timo Meyer, RW, SJ (RW26)
160. Carter Verhege, C, Fla (C42)
161. Erik Karlsson, D, SJ (D49)
162. Petr Mrazek, G, Auto (G17)
163. Scott Mayfield, D, New York (D50)
164. Dmitry Orlov, D, Vsh (D51)
165. Rasmus Ristolainen, D, Baf (D52)
166. William Karlsson, B, Vgs (C43)
167. Brett Pesce, D, Auto (D53)
168. Jesper Bratt, RW, NJ (RW27)
169. Joel Edmundson, D, Mon (D54)
170. Neil Pionk, D, Vpg (D55)
171. Duncan Keith, D, Chi (D56)
172. Blake Wheeler, RW, Wpg (RW28)
173. Evgeny Kuznetsov, S, Vsh (C44)174. Miles Wood, LW, NJ (LW29)
175. Nick Ritchie, LW, Forest (LW30)
176. Nathan Bastian, RW, NJ (RW29)
.177. Shane Gostisbeer, D, Fi (D57)
178. Jordan Eberle, RW, NYI (RW30)
179. Chris Kreider, LW, NYR (LW31)
180. Brandon Saad, LW, Col (LW32)
181. Ryan Souter, D, Min (D58)
.182. Jesse Puljujärvi, RW, Edm (RW31)
183. Josh Morrissey, D, Wpg (D59)
184. Nino Niederreiter, RW, Auto (RW32)
185. Anthony Beauvillier, LW, NYI (LW33)
,186. Ryan Strome, C, NYR (C45)
,187. James van Riemsdyke, LW, Phi (LW34)
188. Ilya Samsonov, G, Vsh (G18)
189. Valery Nichushkin, RW, Colonel (RW33)
190. Zach Parise, LW, Min (LW35)
191. Janni Gurde, LW, TB (LW36)
192. Ryan Hartman, RW, Min (RW34)
193. Will Butcher, D, New Jersey (D60)
194. Ryan McDonagh, D, TB (D61)
195. Jakub Voracek, RW, Fi (RW35)
196. P.C. Subban, D, New Jersey (D62)
197. Logan Couture, C, SJ (C46)
198. David Savard, D, TB (D63)
199. Denis Guryanov, LW, Dal (LW37)
200. Paul Zaha, C, NJ (C47)
201. Nico Hischier, S, NJ (C48)
202. Jakub Vrana, C, Det (C49)
203. Brian Dumoulin, D, pit (D64)
204. Claude Giroux, LW, Phi (LW38)
205. Dominic Kubalik, LW, Chi (LW39)
206. Justin Schultz, D, Wsh (D65)
207. Matthias Janmark, LW, Vgs (LW40)
208. Travis Konecny, RW, Phi (RW36)
209. Travis Sunheim, D, Fi (D66)
.210. Mikhail Sergachev, D, TB (D67)
211. Seth Jones, D, Cls (D68)
.212. Brock Nelson, S, New York (C50)
213. Ilya Sorokin, G, New York (G19)
214. Jonathan Huberdeau, LW, Flemish Republic (LW41)
215. Patrick Hornqvist, RW, Fla (RW37)
216. Jordan Greenway, LW, Min (LW42)
217. Blake Coleman, LW, TB (LW43)
218. Pius Souter, C., Chi (C51)
219. Marcus Johansson, LW, Min (LW44)
220. Jack Hughes, C, NJ (C52)
221. Kyler Yamamoto, RW, Edm (RW38)
.222. Elias Lindholm, RW, Cgy (RW39)
223. Nazem Kadri, C, Col (C53)
224. Josh Manson, D, Ana (D69)
,225. Christian Dvorak, LW, Ari (LW45)
226. Ryan Ellis, D, Nash (D70)
.227. Kyle Palmieri, RW, NYI (RW40)
,228. Anton Khudobin, G, Dal (G20)
229. Eli Tolvanen, LW, NSH (LW46)
230. Phillip Dano, S, Mo (C54)
231. Rasmus Dahlin, D, Baf (D71)
232. Nick Leddy, D, NYI (D72)
233. Eric Chernak, D, TB (D73)
234. Chris Driedger, G., Fla. (G21)
235. Ben Kiaro, D, Mon (D74)
236. Brian Elliott, G, Phi (G22)
237. Mark Giordano, D, Cgy (D75)
238. Nikita Zaitsev, D, Ott (D76)
239. Pierre-Luc Dubois, S, Vpg (C55)240. Corey Perry, RW, Mo (RW41)
241. Max Comtois, LW, Ana (LW47)
242. Morgan Rielly, D, Gate (D77)
243. Nick Schmalz, S, Ari (C56)
244. Olly Maatta, D, Los Angeles (D78)
245. Conor Garland, RW, Ari (RW42)
,246. Kasperi Kapanen, RW, Pete (RW43)
247. Anthony Duclair, LW, Fla. (LW48)
248. Joel Farabee, LW, Phi (LW49)
249. Nick Foligno, LW, Gate (LW50)
250. Oliver Ekman-Larsson, D, Ari (D79)

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